• lntl
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    8
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    11 months ago

    I did the math on this recently: GL has approx 3 million Gt of ice and is losing it at a rate approx equal to 260 Gt/yr.

    If that rate is constant (unlikely) the first ice free summer in GL will be in 13,500 CE

    • Moira_Mayhem@lemmy.blahaj.zone
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      11 months ago

      Of course you didn’t bother to include the compounding greenhouse effect from increased water vapor, which is significantly worse than CO2.

      Just we don’t talk about it as much because water vapor levels are historically stable.

      Unfortunately, losing albedo effects from icecap melting is making it far easier for water to get into the atmosphere in large amounts.

      So it’s not been stable for a bit now. I expect within 5 years it will be a major talking point

      • lntl
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        11 months ago

        if you add a term, I’ll include it and update the post