I’m not the best at math, but if she’s averaging 20% in the primaries (after dropping out)…even a quarter of those folks voting third party or staying home means you’re toast, bro.
Weird thing is how Trump is doing so well in pols anyway?
Decades of defunding public education
I don’t get it.
#MAGA
A lot of polling organizations are still in the practice of just calling numbers in random parts of the country and asking who you plan to vote for.
Who still answers random numbers they don’t recognize? The answer is old people.
Not just calling “number,” calling land lines.
Old people and lonely people. People who are insecure and want to talk to others, but they have few people willing to put up with them. Trump voters.
Similar thing for online polls. Tech savvy people would lean left and we tech people, by in large, wouldn’t bother wasting our time on these polls. Meanwhile the people who do usually lean toward a certain side.
Polls have never been that accurate and they’re getting worse. Romney ahead of Obama in polls
I’m not suggesting folks get complacent but I wouldn’t lose sleep over any polls this far out. The fact that Trump has ANY support is worrying though.
Of course, this is not about polls. This is about primary voters.
The really weird thing is how the Democrats have been beating those polls nationwide by 9+ points since Roe v. Wade was overturned.
It’s almost like the media needs a horse race.
Democrats have been beating those polls nationwide by 9+ points since Roe v. Wade
Really? That has not been my impression, except AFAIK Democrats have won a few elections since then.
If those Haley primary voters are GOP adherents that had their lives / farms / families / health destroyed by Trump’s stupid & evil policies, they likely won’t be back to vote for Trump.
And the Orange Moron saying that out loud will make absolutely sure of it. It’s literally human nature.
There is a little mini insurrection in the GOP primary (like 30% not voting for Trump even though he’s clearly the nominee, or people saying they may not vote for Trump in the general election in a way that’s pretty unusual).
That’s not to say “oh let’s relax, Trump definitely won’t win.” But people even on the right are figuring out he’s a dangerous POS. The news likes to report the other kind of election coverage a lot more than this kind, so it’s not real common to see stories about it, but it’s happening in a real unusual way so far.
With her not running anymore this seems like a pretty solid protest vote. Didn’t she expressly tell her voter to not vote for trump?
I’d REALLY like to know what percentage of those were mail in or early voting. I’m sure that some will switch to Trump and the polls in the places that matter still have him winning by a good margin. Get out and vote!
Honestly, I could see him using this as the basis for his claim that the 2024 election was “stolen” again.
“Haley got 20% of the votes in the primaries even after she dropped out. Biden beat me in this state by 10%. Now when you factor in the 20% that should have automatically been mine anyway and I’d have beat Biden by 10%. See? Election interference!”
Those voters are all coming to me
In more ways than one…
